has developed the "Vision2050" scenario models
for global, regional and national scales for the period 2000 - 2050.
With these models, the scenarios show how we can move towards supplying
in 20 to 40
years, starting from 2010.
The scenarios developed in the last years, show that the transition
is even possible earlier than 2050, e.g. by 2040 in the EU and by
The energy balancing model for national energy-systems was developed
in 2001-02 by the INFORSE network. It was launched with a Global
Vision for the whole world in 2002. Since then, the model has been
to simulate the potential scenarios for
a number of countries by NGOs of the INFORSE network.
The model consists of linked excel spreadsheets, which are used to
input the details of the energy system supply and demand. The
statistics used are from the International Energy Agency, and
statistics. Lately, the model is complemented with using EnergyPLAN
developed by Aalborg University, Denmark.
Contact: Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe. See more details at
the end of this page.
Read a summary in the INFORSE Sustainable Energy
Vision Brochure: Download Vision Brochure, Version December 2012/2010 (391 kB).
on the latest development and cooperation projects, where the
model or the experiences of the model was used or is being used in
the last years:
- Kenya, and Uganda within the EASE
CA project in 2020-21.
- Nordic - Baltic Counties within the "Integrating
Energy Sufficiency into Modelling of Sustainable Energy Scenarios"
Project in 2020-21.
- Belarus, Ukraine SELNEE project in 2020-21
- Armenia, Belarus, Macedonia, Serbia, Ukraine within
project in 2016-17.
- Belarus Regions within the ECSE
Project in 2012-14.
Explore the original INFORSE's Global and Regional Scenarios:
Vision launched with a presentation in 2002 at WSSD, Rio+10 in
Johannesburg, South Africa. The Global Scenario "Vision
2050" was one of the first scenarios for
the whole world simulating that a 100 % renewable future is possible.
Vision, Scenario for Phase out of Fossil and
Nuclear Energy Until 2040 (2011)
Vision, Scenario for Phase out of Fossil and
Nuclear Energy Until 2050 (2004)
INFORSE's Country Scenarios developed in the period from 2003
transition to renewable energy and economic
calculations (2003, updated 2011, 2016-17, 2020)
of Belarus - Latvia - Lithuania, transition
to renewable energy (2011)
to renewable energy (updated December 2010, December 2014)
• Denmark, (Updated
in March 2015: 3rd version developed in 2014)
• Estonia, transition to renewable energy (2011)
• Hungary, transition
to renewable energy (2nd version
published in December 2014)
transition to renewable until 2040,
economic calculations until 2020, (update December 2010)
• Lithuania, transition
to renewable energy (December 2010)
transition to renewable energy (2007)
• Russia, transition
to renewable energy (2008)
• Slovakia, transition
to renewable energy (2002)
• Ukraine, transition
to renewable energy, (2003, with later update on 2016-17, 2020-21)
Explore INFORSE Members' Scenarios:
put fossil fuels until 2030 (NEW
4th Report published in February 2017) developed by Center for Alternative
Technology (CAT), UK.
presented the scenarios in several forums, and
has been part of coalitions to urge further development of ambitious
renewable scenarios. Please read
Transition to 100% Renewable Energy and a Zero Carbon
Society in Europe (Examples from UK, France, Denmark)
- Paul Allen, Centre for Alternative Technology, UK
Yves Marignac presented negaWatt's, France
Boye Olesen, VE/INFORSE, Denmark
April-May: Crowd Funding Campaign for work on ambitious European
100% Renewables Scenario.
15 NGOs & Networks: NegaWatt, INFORSE-Europe, and the members
active on scenario work: Centre for Alternative Technology,
Zala briviba, Za Zemiata, Energiaklub; and FOE-Europe, Festambiente Legambiente,
Wise Europa, Wuppertal Institut, ZERO, Eurac, Fraunhofer ISI.
More Info on web site of Negawatt (in French, Note: Browser translation
works well to English): Contribution site of Negawatt.
Release: Negawatt 11 April, 2019.
RAISING AMBITION -
Zero Carbon Scenarios from Across the Globe
into 130 scenarios
towards 100 % renewable energy supply
zero is achievable! How do we get there? We have the tools to
move beyond fossil fuels! Game over for wasteful energy use!
Main authors: Paul Allen, CAT UK, Isabel Bottoms, Track 0;
James Lloyd, Nature 4 Climate; Jody Dean,
The Climate Group 2050; Christian Breyer,
Lappeenranta University of Technology.
Technical reviewers: Dr Jaise Kuriakose, Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe
Published by Centre for Alternative Technology, in cooperation
the Report from CAT's
homepage: Publication Raising
Ambitions (52 pages pdf) and Summary
(4 pages pdf)
ZeroCarbon Britain Research: www.zerocarbonbritain.org
Ground-breaking NEW ZeroCarbonBritain Report: "Making
exploring how we can overcome barriers in innovative ways. The publication
is drawing on a wide range of peer-reviewed journals, books,
articles, as well as stories from real-life projects.
It is published by INFORSE-Europe member Centre for Alternative
Technology (CAT), UK.
See the new and the previous reports at: ZeroCarbonBritain.
The Proposal - Fast Transition to 100 % Renewable Energy by 2030 in Denmark.
Presentation by Gunnar Boye Olesen, SustainableEnergy & INFORSE at
the 13th International Workshop on Large-Scale
Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems, Berlin Germany.
Article published in the proceedings (6-page
article, 200 kB pdf file) and
power point presentation (22-slide
presentation, 1.3 MB pdf file)
INFORSE 100% Renewanble Energy Scenarios were presented at the
Event of the UN Climate Conference, 2015 - Bonn, Germany
Side Event's Title; Getting Ready
An overview of who is working on zero carbon modelling & tool kits & Next
Link to Proceedings to the Side Event.
Carbon Societies Network:
was partner on an FP7 Project, where Civil Society Organisations
and Researchers working on Low Carbon Scenarios.
The project was in 2009-12.
The Project partners produced
scenarios, methodology, gudelines, and newsletters. Moreover,
the Project established an online network database and a
national, regional, and global scenarios and good practices.
The database has been updated since the end of the project.
Read more: www.lowcarbon-societies.eu .
The network is also on social media: facebook.com/ENCI.LowCarb .
Scenarios Presented at the
Zero Carbon Road Show 2010
Global Vision 2050 presented at the World Summit on Sustainable Development
(WSSD) Rio+10 in 2002.
article "Sustainable Energy Vision 2050: A Proposal to Achieve
a Sustainable Energy System, Following Environmental and Social Imperatives"
at the page on INFORSE's World Vision 2050 or
Download from INFORSE.org: Global
Vision2050 article as pdf.
more on INFORSE's Scenarios in the Articles of Sustainable Energy
Renewable Energy in the EU by 2040 - A New Vision from INFORSE-Europe
By Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe
Sustainable Energy News, No. 71, December
2010, 1-page article on page no. 5
Sustainable Energy News, No. 72, December 2011, article on page no. 10.
No. 71 ( 2.9
MB 12-page issue)
100% Renewable Energy in 2030 with Good Economy - Denmark
By Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe/VE
Sustainable Energy News, No. 70, October 2010, 1-page article on page
SEN 70 ( 1.96
By Paul Allen, Centre for Alternative
Technology & INFORSE-Europe Board,
Sustainable Energy News, No. 69, June 2010, article on page no. 11.
SEN 69 ( 1.6
MB pdf 12-page issue)
Sustainable Energy Visions
By Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe/OVE
Sustainable Energy News, No. 62, October
2008, 2-page article
pdf 211 kB)
Watch Group Reports on Declining Oil, Coal and Uranium Resources
Sustainable Energy News, No. 59, December 2007, 1-page
583 82 kB)
# Sustainable Energy Vision 2050: Vision 2050 is INFORSE's
campaign for a global transition to renewable energy by 2050. Possible?
Realistic? Historical Change in the Industry?
Sustainable Energy News, No.
58, October 2007, 1-page
533 82 kB)
What is Behind and What are the Consequences
in Sustainable Energy News, No. 57. August 2007, 1-page
Global Sustainable Energy Vision 2050, How Fast we can Change?
Phase our Nuclear, No Need for All Resources, A Vision for EU
The Challenge of Reducing Heat Consumption, Efficient
Transport, Decoupling Growth, Renewable Energy, Nuclear and Fossil Energy
Sustainable Energy News, No. 55, December
2006, 3-page article (pdf
Can NGOs Use Sustainable Energy Visions, Scenarios and
the 1970's NGOs have made alternative energy plans and visions,
and have found that they are able to improve their work and be
in the society, when they have well prepared plans and visions that support
Read an overview of "How
to use Sustainable Energy Visions" (pdf 28
has developed a serial of spread sheets that can be used to make energy
balances decade by decade, illustrating a possible development
2000-2050. With inputs in the form of a current energy balance and
trends for development in energy service demand, energy efficiency,
and development of renewable energy, it is possible to make possible
future energy balances, following the Vision2050. The tool also calculates
The tool is available
free to INFORSE members and cooperating European networks. If you
are interested in more information about
the tool, and
eventually to use it, please contact INFORSE-Europe by email to email@example.com.
INFORSE has also compiled Planning Tools to
be used in conjunction with establishing Vision 2050 models, including
a guideline for assessment of renewable energy potentials, employment
has been involved in the development of a wind power strategy for EU.
This is one of the inputs for the European Vision 2050. Read more:
wind strategy and campaign.