has developed the "Vision2050" scenario models
for global, regional and national scales for the period 2000
- 2050. With these models, the scenarios show how we can move
towards supplying 100% of our energy needs for renewable sources
in 20 to 40 years, starting from 2010. The scenarios developed
in the last years, show that the transition is even possible
earlier than 2050, e.g. by 2040 in the EU and by 2030 in Denmark.
The energy balancing model for national energy-systems was developed in 2001-02
by the INFORSE network. It was launched with a Global Vision for the whole world
in 2002. Since then, the model has been used to simulate the potential scenarios
for a number of countries by NGOs of the INFORSE network.
The model consists of linked excel spreadsheets, which are used to input the
details of the energy system supply and demand. The statistics used are from
the International Energy Agency, and national statistics. Lately, the model is
complemented with using EnergyPLAN developed by Aalborg University, Denmark.
Contact: Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe. See more details at the end of this
Read a summary in the INFORSE Sustainable
Energy Vision Brochure: Download Vision
Brochure, Version December 2012/2010 (391 kB).
on the latest development and cooperation projects, where the
model or the experiences of the model was used or is being used
in the last years:
- Kenya, and Uganda within the EASE
CA project in 2020-21.
- Kenya by Suswatch Kenya
2000-21. Report and read more: SuswatchKenya.org and
- Nordic - Baltic Counties within the "Integrating
Energy Sufficiency into Modelling of Sustainable Energy Scenarios" Project
- Belarus, Ukraine within SELNEE project
- Armenia, Belarus, Macedonia, Serbia, Ukraine within
the ASET project in 2016-17.
- Belarus Regions within the ECSE
Project in 2012-14.
Explore the original INFORSE's Global and Regional Scenarios:
Vision launched with a presentation in 2002 at WSSD,
Rio+10 in Johannesburg, South Africa. The Global Scenario "Vision
2050" was one of the first scenarios for the whole world simulating
that a 100 % renewable future is possible.
Vision, Scenario for Phase out of
Fossil and Nuclear Energy Until 2040 (2011)
Vision, Scenario for Phase out
of Fossil and Nuclear Energy Until 2050 (2004)
INFORSE's Country Scenarios developed in the period from 2003 and
transition to renewable energy and economic calculations (2003, updated 2011,
of Belarus - Latvia - Lithuania, transition
to renewable energy (2011)
• Bulgaria, transition
to renewable energy (updated December 2010, December 2014)
• Denmark, (Updated
in March 2015: 3rd version developed in 2014)
• Estonia, transition
to renewable energy (2011)
• Hungary, transition
to renewable energy (2nd version published in December 2014)
• Latvia, transition
to renewable until 2040, economic calculations until 2020, (update
• Lithuania, transition
to renewable energy (December 2010)
transition to renewable energy (2007)
• Russia, transition
to renewable energy (2008)
• Slovakia, transition
to renewable energy (2002)
• Ukraine, transition
to renewable energy, (2003, with later update on 2016-17, 2020-21)
Explore INFORSE Members' Scenarios:
put fossil fuels until 2030 (NEW
4th Report published in February 2017) developed by Center
for Alternative Technology (CAT), UK.
presented the scenarios in several forums, and has been
part of coalitions to urge further development of ambitious
renewable scenarios. Please read news about these:
to 100% Renewable Energy and a Zero Carbon Society in Europe (Examples
from UK, France, Denmark)
- Paul Allen, Centre for Alternative Technology, UK
Yves Marignac presented negaWatt's, France
- Gunnar Boye Olesen, VE/INFORSE, Denmark
April-May: Crowd Funding Campaign for work on ambitious European
100% Renewables Scenario.
15 NGOs & Networks: NegaWatt, INFORSE-Europe, and the members
active on scenario work: Centre for Alternative Technology, Ecoserveis,
briviba, Za Zemiata, Energiaklub; and FOE-Europe, Festambiente Legambiente,
Wise Europa, Wuppertal Institut, ZERO, Eurac, Fraunhofer ISI.
More Info on web site of Negawatt (in French, Note: Browser translation works
well to English): Contribution site of Negawatt.
Scenario initiative and Press
Release: Negawatt 11 April, 2019.
RAISING AMBITION - Zero Carbon Scenarios from Across the Globe
into 130 scenarios
towards 100 % renewable energy supply
Net zero is achievable! How do
we get there? We have the tools to move beyond fossil fuels! Game over
for wasteful energy use!
Main authors: Paul Allen, CAT
UK, Isabel Bottoms, Track 0;
Contributing authors: James Lloyd, Nature 4 Climate; Jody Dean, The Climate
Group 2050; Christian Breyer, Lappeenranta University of Technology.
Technical reviewers: Dr Jaise Kuriakose, Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe.
Published by Centre for Alternative Technology, in cooperation with INFORSE-Europe.
the Report from CAT's
homepage: Publication Raising
Ambitions (52 pages pdf) and Summary
(4 pages pdf)
Britain Research: www.zerocarbonbritain.org
Ground-breaking NEW ZeroCarbonBritain Report: "Making
Toolbox exploring how we can overcome barriers in innovative ways.
The publication is drawing on a wide range of peer-reviewed journals, books,
reports and articles, as well as stories from real-life projects.
It is published by INFORSE-Europe member Centre for Alternative Technology (CAT),
UK. See the new and the previous reports at: ZeroCarbonBritain.
The Proposal - Fast Transition to 100 % Renewable Energy by 2030 in Denmark. Presentation
by Gunnar Boye Olesen, SustainableEnergy & INFORSE at the 13th
International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems,
Article published in the proceedings (6-page
article, 200 kB pdf file) and
power point presentation (22-slide
presentation, 1.3 MB pdf file)
INFORSE 100% Renewanble Energy Scenarios were presented at the
Side Event of the UN Climate Conference,
2015 - Bonn, Germany
Side Event's Title; Getting
Ready for Zero: An overview of who is working on zero carbon
modelling & tool kits & Next Steps
Link to Proceedings to the Side Event.
Carbon Societies Network:
INFORSE-Europe was partner on an FP7 Project, where
Civil Society Organisations and Researchers working on Low
The project was in 2009-12. The
Project partners produced scenarios, methodology, gudelines, and newsletters.
Moreover, the Project established an online network database and a collection
of national, regional, and global scenarios and good practices. The database
has been updated since the end of the project. Read more: www.lowcarbon-societies.eu .
The network is also on social media: facebook.com/ENCI.LowCarb .
Global Vision 2050 presented at the World Summit on Sustainable Development
(WSSD) Rio+10 in 2002.
article "Sustainable Energy Vision 2050: A Proposal to Achieve
a Sustainable Energy System, Following Environmental and Social Imperatives" at
the page on INFORSE's World Vision 2050 or
Download from INFORSE.org: Global
Vision2050 article as pdf.
more on INFORSE's Scenarios in the Articles of Sustainable
Renewable Energy in the EU by 2040 - A New Vision from INFORSE-Europe
By Gunnar Boye Olesen,
Sustainable Energy News, No. 71, December 2010,
1-page article on page no. 5;
Sustainable Energy News, No. 72, December 2011, article on page no. 10.
No. 71 ( 2.9
MB 12-page issue)
Renewable Energy in 2030 with Good Economy - Denmark
By Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe/VE
Sustainable Energy News, No. 70, October 2010, 1-page article on page
SEN 70 ( 1.96
MB pdf 12-page issue)
By Paul Allen, Centre
for Alternative Technology & INFORSE-Europe Board,
Sustainable Energy News, No. 69, June 2010, article on page no. 11.
SEN 69 ( 1.6
MB pdf 12-page issue)
Sustainable Energy Visions
By Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe/OVE
Sustainable Energy News, No. 62, October 2008, 2-page article
pdf 211 kB)
Watch Group Reports on Declining Oil, Coal and Uranium Resources
Sustainable Energy News, No. 59, December
2007, 1-page article (pdf
583 82 kB)
# Sustainable Energy Vision 2050: Vision 2050 is INFORSE's
campaign for a global transition to renewable energy by 2050. Possible?
Realistic? Historical Change in the Industry?
Sustainable Energy News, No. 58, October
2007, 1-page article (pdf
533 82 kB)
Uranium Price: What
is Behind and What are the Consequences
in Sustainable Energy News, No. 57. August 2007, 1-page
Global Sustainable Energy Vision 2050, How Fast we can Change?
Phase our Nuclear, No Need for All Resources, A Vision for EU
Challenge of Reducing Heat Consumption, Efficient Transport, Decoupling
Growth, Renewable Energy, Nuclear and Fossil Energy
Sustainable Energy News, No. 55, December 2006, 3-page
Can NGOs Use Sustainable Energy Visions, Scenarios and Plans
the 1970's NGOs have made alternative energy plans and visions,
and have found that they are able to improve their work and be
better accepted in the society, when they have well prepared
plans and visions that support their proposals.
Read an overview of "How to use
Sustainable Energy Visions" (pdf
28 kB) for
has developed a serial of spread sheets that can be used to make
energy balances decade by decade, illustrating a possible development
2000-2050. With inputs in the form of a current energy balance
and trends for development in energy service demand, energy efficiency,
fuel shift and development of renewable energy, it is possible
to make possible future energy balances, following the Vision2050.
The tool also calculates CO2 emissions.
tool is available free to INFORSE members and cooperating European
networks. If you are interested in more information about the
tool, and eventually to use it, please contact INFORSE-Europe
by email to firstname.lastname@example.org.
INFORSE has also compiled Planning Tools to be
used in conjunction with establishing Vision 2050 models, including
a guideline for assessment of renewable energy potentials, employment etc.
has been involved in the development of a wind power strategy
for EU. This is one of the inputs for the European Vision 2050.
Read more: wind strategy and campaign.